Research
Market Responses to Fed (in)Action | Weekly Market Commentary | June 20, 2023
As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. During that time, the Fed held a tightening bias since they believed the housing market was stabilizing, the economy would continue to expand, and inflation risks remained. Clearly, their expectations were not met as the economy soon fell into recession. That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change.
FOMC Preview: Skip, Pause, or Hike? | Weekly Market Commentary | June 12, 2023
The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets this week where it is largely expected to not raise short term interest rates for the first time in 15 months. However, Fed messaging has been all over the place in recent weeks.
How Much of a Problem is Concentrated Leadership? | Weekly Market Commentary | May 30, 2023
Mega-cap stocks, which have outlier market capitalizations and are often referred to as ‘the generals,’ have made an impressive comeback this year.
Will History Rhyme? A Fed Pause Has Been Good For Fixed Income | Weekly Market Commentary | May 22, 2023
LPL’s Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) recommends investors maintain a neutral duration relative to benchmarks with the expectation that Treasury yields are likely headed lower (or at least not much higher) over the next few quarters.
Earnings Update: Better Than Feared Undersells These Results | Weekly Market Commentary | May 15, 2023
There’s plenty to worry about the rest of the year (debt limit, recession, tightening financial conditions, a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy mistake, among them), but the risk of an additional sharp contraction in profit margins has come way down.